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Scientists Close in on Elusive Goal of Adapting Nanopore Technology for Protein Sequencing

Technology could enable medical laboratories to deploy inexpensive protein sequencing with a handheld device at point of care and remote locations

Clinical laboratories engaged in protein testing will be interested in several recent studies that suggest scientists may be close to adapting nanopore-sensing technology for use in protein identification and sequencing. The new proteomics techniques could lead to new handheld devices capable of genetic sequencing of proteins at low cost and with a high degree of sensitivity, in contrast to current approaches based on mass spectrometry.

But there are challenges to overcome, not the least of which is getting the proteins to cooperate. Compact devices based on nanopore technology already exist that can sequence DNA and RNA. But “there are lots of challenges with proteins” that have made it difficult to adapt the technology, Aleksei Aksimentiev, PhD, Professor of Biological Physics at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, told ASBMB Today, a publication of the American Society for Biochemistry and Molecular Biology. “In particular, they’re not uniformly charged; they’re not linear, most of the time they’re folded; and there are 20 amino acids, plus a zoo of post-translational modifications,” he added.

The ASBMB story notes that nanopore technology depends on differences in charges on either side of the membrane to force DNA or RNA through the hole. This is one reason why proteins pose such a challenge.

Giovanni Maglia, PhD, a Full Professor at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands and researcher into the fundamental properties of membrane proteins and their applications in nanobiotechnology, says he has developed a technique that overcomes these challenges.

“Think of a cell as a miniature city, with proteins as its inhabitants. Each protein-resident has a unique identity, its own characteristics, and function. If there was a database cataloging the fingerprints, job profiles, and talents of the city’s inhabitants, such a database would undoubtedly be invaluable!” said Behzad Mehrafrooz, PhD (above), Graduate Research Assistant at University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in an article he penned for the university website. This research should be of interest to the many clinical laboratories that do protein testing. (Photo copyright: University of Illinois.)

How the Maglia Process Works

In a Groningen University news story, Maglia said protein is “like cooked spaghetti. These long strands want to be disorganized. They do not want to be pushed through this tiny hole.”

His technique, developed in collaboration with researchers at the University of Rome Tor Vergata, uses electrically charged ions to drag the protein through the hole.

“We didn’t know whether the flow would be strong enough,” Maglia stated in the news story. “Furthermore, these ions want to move both ways, but by attaching a lot of charge on the nanopore itself, we were able to make it directional.”

The researchers tested the technology on what Maglia described as a “difficult protein” with many negative charges that would tend to make it resistant to flow.

“Previously, only easy-to-thread proteins were analyzed,” he said in the news story. “But we gave ourselves one of the most difficult proteins as a test. And it worked!”

Maglia now says that he intends to commercialize the technology through a new startup called Portal Biotech.

The Groningen University scientists published their findings in the journal Nature Biotechnology, titled “Translocation of Linearized Full-Length Proteins through an Engineered Nanopore under Opposing Electrophoretic Force.”

Detecting Post-Translational Modifications in the UK

In another recent study, researchers at the University of Oxford reported that they have adapted nanopore technology to detect post-translational modifications (PTMs) in protein chains. The term refers to changes made to proteins after they have been transcribed from DNA, explained an Oxford news story.

“The ability to pinpoint and identify post-translational modifications and other protein variations at the single-molecule level holds immense promise for advancing our understanding of cellular functions and molecular interactions,” said contributing author Hagan Bayley, PhD, Professor of Chemical Biology at University of Oxford, in the news story. “It may also open new avenues for personalized medicine, diagnostics, and therapeutic interventions.”

Bayley is the founder of Oxford Nanopore Technologies, a genetic sequencing company in the UK that develops and markets nanopore sequencing products.

The news story notes that the new technique could be integrated into existing nanopore sequencing devices. “This could facilitate point-of-care diagnostics, enabling the personalized detection of specific protein variants associated with diseases including cancer and neurodegenerative disorders,” the story states.

The Oxford researchers published their study’s findings in the journal Nature Nanotechnology titled, “Enzyme-less Nanopore Detection of Post-Translational Modifications within Long Polypeptides.”

Promise of Nanopore Protein Sequencing Technology

In another recent study, researchers at the University of Washington reported that they have developed their own method for protein sequencing with nanopore technology.

“We hacked the [Oxford Nanopore] sequencer to read amino acids and PTMs along protein strands,” wrote Keisuke Motone, PhD, one of the study authors in a post on X (formerly Twitter) following the study’s publication on the preprint server bioRxiv titled, “Multi-Pass, Single-Molecule Nanopore Reading of Long Protein Strands with Single-Amino Acid Sensitivity.”

“This opens up the possibility for barcode sequencing at the protein level for highly multiplexed assays, PTM monitoring, and protein identification!” Motone wrote.

In a commentary they penned for Nature Methods titled, “Not If But When Nanopore Protein Sequencing Meets Single-Cell Proteomics,” Motone and colleague Jeff Nivala, PhD, Principal Investigator at University of Washington, pointed to the promise of the technology.

Single-cell proteomics, enabled by nanopore protein sequencing technology, “could provide higher sensitivity and wider throughput, digital quantification, and novel data modalities compared to the current gold standard of protein MS [mass spectrometry],” they wrote. “The accessibility of these tools to a broader range of researchers and clinicians is also expected to increase with simpler instrumentation, less expertise needed, and lower costs.”

There are approximately 20,000 human genes. However, there are many more proteins. Thus, there is strong interest in understanding the human proteome and the role it plays in health and disease.

Technology that makes protein testing faster, more accurate, and less costly—especially with a handheld analyzer—would be a boon to the study of proteomics. And it would give clinical laboratories new diagnostic tools and bring some of that testing to point-of-care settings like doctor’s offices.

—Stephen Beale

Related Information:

Nanopores as the Missing Link to Next Generation Protein Sequencing

Nanopore Technology Achieves Breakthrough in Protein Variant Detection

The Scramble for Protein Nanopore Sequencing

The Emerging Landscape of Single-Molecule Protein Sequencing Technologies

ASU Researcher Advances the Science of Protein Sequencing with NIH Innovator Award          

The Missing Link to Make Easy Protein Sequencing Possible?

Engineered Nanopore Translocates Full Length Proteins

Not If But When Nanopore Protein Sequencing Meets Single-Cell Proteomics

Enzyme-Less Nanopore Detection of Post-Translational Modifications within Long Polypeptides

Unidirectional Single-File Transport of Full-Length Proteins through a Nanopore

Translocation of Linearized Full-Length Proteins through an Engineered Nanopore under Opposing Electrophoretic Force

Interpreting and Modeling Nanopore Ionic Current Signals During Unfoldase-Mediated Translocation of Single Protein Molecules

Multi-Pass, Single-Molecule Nanopore Reading of Long Protein Strands with Single-Amino Acid Sensitivity

Microbiome Firm Raises $86.5 Million and Inks Deal to Sell Consumer Test Kits in 200 CVS Pharmacies

Studying gut bacteria continues to intrigue investors, but can the results produce viable diagnostic data for healthcare providers?

Even as microbiologists and clinical pathologists closely watch research into the human microbiome and anticipate study findings that could lead to new medical laboratory tests based on microbiome testing, there are entrepreneurs ready to tout the benefits of microbiome testing to consumers. That’s the impetus behind an announced deal between a microbiome testing company and a national pharmacy chain.

That deal involves health startup Viome Life Sciences, which recently closed a $86.5 million Series C funding round to support research and development of its consumer health at-home test kits, and CVS, which will sell Viome’s Gut Intelligence Test at 200 of the pharmacy company’s retail locations nationwide, according to an August press release.

“Founded seven years ago by serial entrepreneur Naveen Jain, Viome sells at-home kits that analyze the microbial composition of stool samples and provide food recommendations, as well as supplements and probiotics. Viome says it is the first company to sell gut tests at CVS, both online and in-store. The tests will sell for $179,” GeekWire reported.

Investors appear to be intrigued by these types of opportunities. To date, Viome has raised a total of $175 million.

Naveen Jain

“In a world where healthcare has often been reactive, treating symptoms and targeting diseases only after they manifest, Viome is pioneering a transformative shift by harnessing the innate power of food and nutrition,” stated Naveen Jain (above), Founder and CEO of Viome, in a press release. “Our mission is not just to prolong life but to enrich it, enabling everyone to thrive in health and vitality.” But some microbiologists and clinical laboratory scientists would consider that the current state of knowledge about the human microbiome is not well-developed enough to justify offering direct-to-consumer microbiology tests that encourage consumers to purchase nutritional products. (Photo copyright: Viome Life Sciences.)

Empowering People to Make Informed Decisions about Their Health

Established in 2016, Bellevue, Washington-based Viome produces and sells, among other tests, its Gut Intelligence at-home test kit, which analyzes the microbial composition of stool samples. This kit relies on RNA sequencing to detect bacteria and other elements present in the gut, such as yeasts and viruses.

The genetic data is then entered into an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm to provide individuals with information regarding their personal gut health. Viome partnered with Los Alamos National Laboratory to create their AI platform. The company has collected more than 600,000 test samples to date. 

“We are the only company that looks at the gene expression and what these microbes are doing,” said Naveen Jain, Founder and CEO of Viome in the press release.

Viome uses technology combined with science to determine the optimal outcomes for each individual consumer based on his or her unique human and microbial gene expression. The data derived from the microbiome is also utilized to offer nutritional recommendations and supplement advice to test takers.

“At Viome, we’re empowering our customers with an individualized nutrition strategy, cutting through the noise of temporary trends and one-size-fits-all advice,” Jain added. “We’re on a journey to redefine aging itself, and we’re invigorated by the support of our investors and customers. Together, we’re building pathways to wellness that hold the potential to enhance the lives of billions of fellow humans across the globe.”

Manipulating Microbiome through Diet

Some scientists, however, are not sold on the idea of microbiome test kits and the data they offer to healthcare providers for treating illnesses.

“The best thing anybody can do for their microbiome is to eat a healthy diet. That’s the best way of manipulating your microbiome,” David Suskind, MD, a gastroenterologist at Seattle Children’s Hospital and Professor of Pediatrics at the University of Washington, told GeekWire.

“The kit will detect things, but we still don’t know as doctors what to do with this information for clinical practice,” gastroenterologist Elena Verdu, MD, PhD, Associate Director of the Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research Institute at McMaster University in Ontario, Canada.

Verdu, GeekWire reported, added that “there needs to be standardization of protocols and better understanding of microbiome function in health and disease.”

“Recommendations for such commercial kits would have to be based on evidence-based guidelines, which currently do not exist,” she told GeekWire.

Nevertheless, Jain remains positive about the value of microbiome testing. “The future of medicine will be delivered at home, not at the hospital. And the medicines of the future are going to come from a farm, not a pharmacy,” he told GeekWire.  

Other Viome At-home Tests

According to a paper published in the journal Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology  titled, “Role of the Gut Microbiota in Health and Chronic Gastrointestinal Disease: Understanding a Hidden Metabolic Organ,” the human gut contains trillions of microbes, and no two people share the exact same microbiome composition. This complex community of microbial cells influences human physiology, metabolism, nutrition and immune function, and performs a critical role in overall health.

CVS currently sells Viome’s “Gut Intelligence Health Insights Plus Personalized Nutrition Plan” on its website for $149.99. Prices may vary from online to in-store. The test is intended for individuals who want to monitor and address gut imbalances or health symptoms, such as:

  • Constipation
  • Diarrhea
  • Stomach pain
  • Bloating
  • Heartburn
  • Itchy skin
  • Trouble maintaining a healthy weight

Viome sells the Gut Intelligence Test for $179 on its own website, as well as the following health tests:

Viome also sell precision probiotics and prebiotics, as well as supplements and oral health lozenges.

Gut microbiome testing kits, such as the one from Viome, typically require the collection of a stool sample. Healthcare consumers have in the past been reluctant to perform such testing, but as more information regarding gut health is published, that reluctance may diminish.

Clinical laboratories also have a stake in the game. Dynamic direct to consumer at-home testing has the potential to generate revenue for clinical laboratories, while helping consumers who want to monitor different aspects of their health. But this would be an adjunct to the primary mission of medical laboratories to provide testing services to local physicians and their patients.

—JP Schlingman

Related Information:

Genomic Testing Startup Viome Closes $86.5M Round, Partners with CVS to Sell At-home Kits

Preventative Health and Longevity Company, Viome Life Sciences, Closes $86.5M Oversubscribed Series C Funding Round

Viome, a Microbiome Startup, Raises $86.5M, Inks Distribution Deal with CVS

Viome Life Sciences Raises $54M for Expanded Clinical Trials

Researchers Use Ingestible Device to Non-Invasively Sample Human Gut Bacteria in a Development That Could Enable More Clinical Laboratory Testing of Microbiomes

Researchers Find Health of Human Microbiome Greatly Influenced by Foods We Eat

Gut Health Startup Viome Raises $54M to Develop Cancer Diagnostics and Sell Microbiome Kits

University of Washington Researchers Use Genomic Analysis to Track Shigella Infections as Decreased Cost of Gene Sequencing Aids Public Health Research

Another study in the United Kingdom that also used genomic analysis to understand drug-resistant Shigella produced findings that may be useful for microbiologists and medical laboratory scientists

From the onset of an infectious disease outbreak, public health officials, microbiologists, and clinical laboratory managers find it valuable to trace the origin of the spread back to the “index case” or “patient zero”—the first documented patient in the disease epidemic. Given the decreased cost of genomic analysis and improved accuracy of gene sequencing, infectious disease researchers are finding that task easier and faster than ever.

One recent example is a genomic study conducted at University of Washington (UW) in Seattle that enabled researchers to “retrace” the origin and spread of a “multidrug-resistant Shigellosis outbreak” from 2017 to 2022. “The aim of the study was to better understand the community transmission of Shigella and spread of antimicrobial resistance in our population, and to treat these multi-drug resistant infections more effectively,” the UW scientists stated in a new release.

Shigellosis (aka, bacillary dysentery) is a highly contagious disease of the intestines that can lead to hospitalization. Symptoms include fever, stomach cramps, diarrhea, dysentery, and dehydration.

“Additional analysis of the gut pathogen and its transmission patterns helped direct approaches to testing, treatment, and public health responses,” the UW news release states.

Usually prevalent in countries with public health and sanitation limitations, the “opportunistic” Shigella pathogen is now being seen in high-income countries as well, UW reported.

The researchers published their findings in Lancet Infectious Diseases, titled, “Genomic Reconstruction and Directed Interventions in a Multidrug-Resistant Shigellosis Outbreak in Seattle, WA, USA: A Genomic Surveillance Study.”

Ferric Fang, MD

“You can’t really expect an infectious disease to remain confined to a specific at-risk population. [Shigella infections are] very much an emerging threat and something where our public health tools and therapeutic tools have significant limitations,” infectious disease specialist Ferric Fang, MD (above) told CIDRAP News. Fang is a UW professor of Microbiology and Clinical Laboratory Medicine and a corresponding author of the UW study. (Photo copyright: University of Washington.)

Why are Shigella Cases Increasing?

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) records more than 450,000 shigellosis infections each year in the US. The most common species in the US, according to CDC statistics, is Shigellaa sonnei.

Other members of the genus include:

Generally, Shigella infects children, travelers, and men who have sex with men (MSM), the CDC noted.

The UW researchers were motivated to study Shigella when they noticed an uptick in drug-resistant shigellosis cases in Seattle’s homeless population in 2020 at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy News (CIDRAP News) reported.

“Especially during the pandemic, a lot of public facilities were closed that homeless people were used to using,” infectious disease specialist Ferric Fang, MD, told CIDRAP News. Fang is Professor of Microbiology and Laboratory Medicine at University of Washington and corresponding author of the UW study.

The researchers studied 171 cases of Shigella identified from 2017 to 2022 by clinical laboratories at Harborview Medical Center and UW Medical Center in Seattle. According to CIDRAP News, the UW researchers found that:

  • 46% were men who have sex with men (MSM).
  • 51% were people experiencing homelessness (PEH).
  • Fifty-six patients were admitted to the hospital, with eight to an intensive care unit.
  • 51% of isolates were multi-drug resistant (MDR).

Whole-Genome Sequencing Reveals Origin

The UW scientists characterized the stool samples of Shigella isolates by species identification, phenotypic susceptibility testing, and whole-genome sequencing, according to their Lancet Infectious Diseases paper. The paper also noted that 143 patients received antimicrobial therapy, and 70% of them benefited from the treatment for the Shigella infection.

Whole-genome sequencing revealed that two strains of Shigella (S. flexneri and S. sonnei) appeared first in Seattle’s MSM population before infecting the PEM population.

The genomic analysis found the outbreak of drug-resistant Shigella had international links as well, according to CIDRAP News:

  • One S. flexneri isolate was associated with a multi-drug resistant (MDR) strain from China, and
  • S. sonnei isolates resembled a strain characteristic of a current outbreak of MDR Shigella in England.

“The most prevalent lineage in Seattle was probably introduced to Washington State via international travel, with subsequent domestic transmission between at-risk groups,” the researchers wrote.

“Genomic analysis elucidated not only outbreak origin, but directed optimal approaches to testing, treatment, and public health response. Rapid diagnostics combined with detailed knowledge of local epidemiology can enable high rates of appropriate empirical therapy even in multidrug-resistant infection,” they continued.

UK Shigella Study Also Uses Genomics

Another study based in the United Kingdom (UK) used genomic analysis to investigate a Shigella outbreak as well.

Motivated by a UK Health Security Agency report of an increase in drug-resistance to common strains since 2021, the UK researchers studied Shigella cases from September 2015 to June 2022.

According to a paper they published in Lancet Infectious Diseases, the UK researchers “reported an increase in cases of sexually transmitted S. flexneri harboring blaCTX-M-27 (an antibiotic-resistant gene) in England, which is known to confer resistance to third-generation cephalosporins (antibiotics),” the researchers wrote.

Their analysis of plasmids (DNA with genes having antibiotic resistance) revealed a link in two drug-resistant Shigella strains at the same time, CIDRAP News explained.

“Our study reveals a worsening outlook regarding antimicrobial-resistant Shigella strains among MSM and highlights the value of continued integration of genomic analysis into surveillance and research,” the UK-based scientists wrote.

Current challenges associated with Shigella, especially as it evades treatment, may continue to demand attention from microbiologists, clinical laboratory scientists, and infectious disease specialists. Fortunately, use of genomic analysis—due to its ongoing improvements that have lowered cost and improved accuracy—has made it possible for public health researchers to better track the origins of disease outbreak and spread.    

Donna Marie Pocius

Related Information:

Genomic Reconstruction and Directed Interventions in a Multidrug-Resistant Shigellosis Outbreak in Seattle, Washington, USA: a Genomic Surveillance Study.

Genomics Aids Study of Seattle 2017-22 Shigella Outbreak

Q/A: Shigella—Shigellosis

A Spotlight on Growing Threat of Drug-Resistant Shigella

Emergence of Extensively Drug-Resistant and Multidrug-Resistant Shigella flexneri serotype 2a Associated with Sexual Transmission Among Gay, Bisexual, and Other Men Who Have Sex with Men, in England: A Descriptive Epidemiological Study

University of Washington Researchers Develop Home Blood Clotting Clinical Laboratory Test That Uses a Smartphone and a Single Drop of Blood

UW scientists believe their at-home test could help more people on anticoagulants monitor their clotting levels and avoid blood clots

In a proof-of-concept study,researchers at the University of Washington (UW) are developing a new smartphone-based technology/application designed to enable people on anticoagulants such as warfarin to monitor their clotting levels from the comfort of their homes. Should this new test methodology prove successful, clinical laboratories may have yet one more source of competition from this at-home PT/INR test solution.

PT/INR (prothrombin time with an international normalized ratio) is one of the most frequently performed clinical laboratory blood tests. This well-proven assay helps physicians monitor clotting in patients taking certain anticoagulation medications.

However, the process can be onerous for those on anticoagulation drugs. Users of this type of medication must have their blood tested regularly—typically by a clinical laboratory—to ensure the medication is working effectively. When not, a doctor visit is required to adjust the amount of the medication in the bloodstream.

Alternatively, where a state’s scope of practice law permits, pharmacists can perform a point-of-care test for the patient, thus allowing the pharmacist to appropriately adjust the patient’s prescription.

Though in the early stages of its development, were the UW’s new smartphone-based blood clotting test to be cleared by the federal Food and Drug Administration (FDA), then users would only need to see a doctor when their readings went and stayed out of range, according to Clinical Lab Products (CLP).

The UW researchers published their findings in the journal Nature Communications, titled, “Micro-Mechanical Blood Clot Testing Using Smartphones.”

Enabling Patients to Test Their Blood More Frequently

More than eight million Americans with mechanical heart valves or other cardiac conditions take anticoagulants, and 55% of people taking those medication say they fear experiencing life-threatening bleeding, according to the National Blood Clot Alliance.

They have reason to be worried. Even when taking an anticoagulation drug, its level may not stay within therapeutic range due to the effects of food and other medications, experts say. 

“In the US, most people are only in what we call the ‘desirable range’ of PT/INR levels about 64% of the time. This number is even lower—only about 40% of the time—in countries such as India or Uganda, where there is less frequent testing. We need to make it easier for people to test more frequently,” said anesthesiologist and co-author of the study Kelly Michaelsen, MD, PhD, UW Assistant Professor of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, in a UW news release.

Shyam Gollakota, PhD
“Back in the day, doctors used to manually rock tubes of blood back and forth to monitor how long it took a clot to form. This, however, requires a lot of blood, making it infeasible to use in home settings,” said senior study author Shyam Gollakota, PhD (above), professor and head of the Networks and Mobile Systems Lab at UW’s Paul G. Allen School of Computer Science and Engineering, in the UW news release. “The creative leap we make here is that we’re showing that by using the vibration motor on a smartphone, our algorithms can do the same thing, except with a single drop of blood. And we get accuracy similar to the best commercially available techniques [used by clinical laboratories].” (Photo copyright: University of Washington.)

How UW’s Smartphone-based Blood Clotting Test Works

The UW researchers were motived by the success of home continuous glucose monitors, which enable diabetics to continually track their blood glucose levels.

According to the Nature Communications paper, here’s how UW’s “smartphone-based micro-mechanical clot detection system” works:

  • Samples of blood plasma and whole blood are placed into a thimble-size plastic cup.
  • The cup includes a small copper particle and thromboplastin activator.
  • When the smartphone is turned on and vibrating, the cup (which is mounted on an attachment) moves beneath the phone’s camera.
  • Video analytic algorithms running on the smartphone track the motion of the copper particle.
  • If blood clots, the “viscous mixture” slows and stops.
  • PT/INR values can be determined in less than a minute.  

“Our system visually tracks the micro-mechanical movements of a small copper particle in a cup with either a single drop of whole blood or plasma and the addition of activators,” the researchers wrote in Nature Communications. “As the blood clots, it forms a network that tightens. And in that process, the particle goes from happily bouncing around to no longer moving,” Michaelsen explained.

The system produced these results:

  • 140 de-identified plasma samples: PT/INR with inter-class correlation coefficients of 0.963 and 0.966.
  • 79 de-identified whole blood samples: 0.974 for both PT/INR.

Another At-home Test That Could Impact Clinical Laboratories

The UW scientists intend to test the system with patients in their homes, and in areas and countries with limited testing resources, Medical Device Network reported.

Should UW’s smartphone-based blood-clotting test be cleared by the FDA, there could be a ready market for it. But it will need to be offered it at a price competitive with current clinical laboratory assays for blood clotting, as well as with the current point-of-care tests in use today.

Nevertheless, UW’s work is the latest example of a self-testing methodology that could become a new competitor for clinical laboratories. This may motivate medical laboratories to keep PT/INR testing costs low, while also reporting quick and accurate results to physicians and patients on anticoagulants.

Alternatively, innovative clinical laboratories could develop a patient management service to oversee a patient’s self-testing at home and coordinate delivery of the results with the patient’s physician and pharmacist. This approach would enable the lab to add value for which it could be reimbursed. 

Donna Marie Pocius

Related Information:

Smartphone App Can Vibrate a Single Drop of Blood to Determine How Well It Clots

Blood Coagulation Testing Using Smartphones

Micro-Mechanical Blood Clot Testing Using Smartphones

55% of Americans Taking Blood Thinners Indicate They Fear Suffering from Major Blooding, 73% More Cautious with Routine Activities to Avoid Risk

University of Washington Develops New Blood Clotting Test

Scientists Estimate 73% of US Population May Be Immune to SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant

Clinical laboratory scientists should also know experts warn that ‘herd resistance’ is more likely than ‘herd immunity’ due to low vaccination rates in many parts of the world

Scientists estimate 73% of the US population may be immune to the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant. Whether the nation is approaching “herd immunity” against the disease, however, remains open to debate, the Associated Press (AP) reported. These estimates are relevant to medical laboratories doing serology tests for COVID-19, as different individuals will have different immune system responses to COVID-19 infections and vaccines.

More than two years into the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States, the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker shows the number of daily cases dropped to fewer than 50,000 as of March 4, 2022, after reaching a high of 928,125 on January 3, 2022.

Meanwhile, the seven-day death rate per 100,000 people stands at 2.78. That’s significantly above the seven-day death rate reached last July of .45, but well below the 7.21 mark recorded on January 13, 2021.

“We’re clearly entering a new phase of the pandemic,” William Morice, II, MD, PhD, Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn., told KARE11, an NBC affiliate.

Is Herd Immunity Achievable?

According to the AP, an estimated 73% of the US population is likely to be immune to the Omicron variant due to vaccination or natural immunity from contracting the disease. That calculation was done for the media outlet by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington in Seattle. The IHME anticipates immunity to Omicron could rise to 80% this month, as more people receive vaccination booster shots or become vaccinated.

Despite those optimistic totals, however, Don Milton, MD, DrPH, Professor of Environmental Health at the University of Maryland School of Public Health, suggests achieving herd immunity to COVID-19 and its variants may no longer be possible.

“Herd immunity is an elusive concept and doesn’t apply to coronavirus,” he told the Associated Press (AP).

Milton maintains populations are moving toward “herd resistance,” rather than “herd immunity.” This will transform COVID-19 into a permanent fixture with seasonal outbreaks similar to influenza.

Ali Mokdad, PhD
Epidemiologist, Ali Mokdad, PhD (above), Chief Strategy Officer for Population Health and Professor of Health Metrics Science at the University of Washington in Seattle, believes the US is now much better positioned to withstand the next wave of COVID-19 cases. “I am optimistic even if we have a surge in summer, cases will go up, but hospitalizations and deaths will not,” he told the Associated Press (AP). Mokdad worked on the IHME model that calculated the 73% Omicron-immunity figure for the AP. However, he recommends continued vigilance toward COVID-19. “We’ve reached a much better position for the coming months, but with waning immunity we shouldn’t take it for granted,” he added. And so, clinical laboratories can expect to continue to play a vital role in the fight against the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus. (Photo copyright: University of Washington.)

Herd Immunity Varies, according to the WHO

Because antibodies that developed from vaccines—or natural immunity from a previous infection—diminish over time, waning protection means even those boosted or recently recovered from COVID-19 could be reinfected. In addition, vaccination rates vary widely around the world. Our World in Data estimates only 13.6% of people in low-income countries had received one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine as of March 7, 2022.

The World Health Organization (WHO) points out that herd immunity levels vary with different diseases. Herd immunity against measles requires about 95% of a population to be vaccinated, while the threshold for polio is about 80%.

“The proportion of the population that must be vaccinated against COVID-19 to begin inducing herd immunity is not known. This is an important area of research and will likely vary according to the community, the vaccine, the populations prioritized for vaccination, and other factors,” the WHO website states.

Living with COVID-19

Nonetheless, the US appears to be moving into a new “normal” phase of living with the disease.

In an interview with Reuters, US infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci, MD, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) acknowledged a need for returning to normal living even though portions of the population—immunocompromised individuals and the unvaccinated, including children under age five who are not eligible for vaccination—remain vulnerable to more severe COVID-19.

“The fact that the world and the United States—and particularly certain parts of the United States—are just up to here with COVID, they just really need to somehow get their life back,” Fauci said. “You don’t want to be reckless and throw everything aside, but you’ve got to start inching towards that. There’s no perfect solution to this.”

Most states have lifted coronavirus-related restrictions, including masking requirements. As COVID-19 cases drop in California, Gov. Gavin Newsom put in motion a plan called SMARTER (Shots, Masks, Awareness, Readiness, Testing, Education, and Rx) that no longer responds to COVID-19 as a crisis, but instead emphasizes prevention, surveillance, and rapid response to future variant-based surges in cases.

“We have all come to understand what was not understood at the beginning of this crisis, that there’s no ending, that there’s not a moment where we declare victory,” Newsom told USA Today.

Mayo Clinic’s Morice agrees. “It can’t be out of sight, out of mind, per se, but it at least gives us hope that we can get back to some level of normalcy here over the course of the year,” he said.

Since clinical laboratories played a critical role in assay development and COVID-19 testing, medical laboratory leaders should continue monitoring COVID-19 as it moves from pandemic to endemic status due to high vaccination rates and advances in treatment options.

The COVID-19 pandemic has raised awareness among healthcare consumers as well, about the critical role laboratory medicine plays in modern medicine and healthcare. Medical laboratory leaders and pathologists would be wise to amplify this message and stress the importance of clinical laboratory testing for many diseases and healthcare conditions.

Andrea Downing Peck

Related Information:

Estimated 73% of US Now Immune to Omicron: Is That Enough?

Model Estimates 73% of Americans Immune to Omicron Variant

California is First to Unveil Plan to Live with Virus; ‘Stealth Omicron’ Could Be More Dangerous than Initial Version: COVID-19 Updates

Fauci Says Time to Start ‘Inching’ Back Toward Normality

CDC Data Tracker

Is Omicron Leading US Closer to Herd Immunity against COVID?

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