Experts advise clinical laboratories to prepare now for a marked increase in demand for RSV, COVID-19, and influenza testing
Are the COVID-19 lockdowns responsible for the increase in cases of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)? Some physicians believe that may be the case and it has hospitals, clinical laboratories, and pathology groups scrambling to prepare for a possible “tripledemic,” according to UC Davis Health.
The addition of RSV as we move into what is predicted to be a bad influenza (flu) season has prompted the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to issue a Health Alert Network (HAN) advisory which states, “Co-circulation of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza viruses, SARS-CoV-2, and others could place stress on healthcare systems this fall and winter.” This is especially true of clinical laboratories that still struggle to keep pace with demand for COVID-19 testing.
“COVID cases are expected to rise during the winter. This will be occurring at the same time we expect to see influenza rates increase while we are already seeing an early start to RSV season,” said Dean Blumberg, MD (above), chief of pediatric infectious diseases at UC Davis Children’s Hospital. “With all three viruses on the rise, we are worried about an increase in the rates of viral infection that may lead to an increase in hospitalizations.” Clinical laboratories should prepare for a marked increase in demand for RSV testing, as well as COVID-19 and influenza. (Photo copyright: UC Davis Health.)
Masking, Lockdowns, and Social Distancing Could be Responsible
Every winter in the United States, outbreaks of the flu and RSV occur. However, this year the RSV outbreak appears to be more serious. The CDC warns that “surveillance has shown an increase in RSV detections and RSV-associated emergency department visits and hospitalizations in multiple US regions, with some regions nearing seasonal peak levels.”
The current spread of RSV infections taking place in the US varies from prior outbreaks in notable ways:
Incidents are happening in the fall, whereas RSV outbreaks usually peak starting in late December.
Older children as well as infants are being hospitalized.
Current cases appear to be more severe.
Episodes are rising at a time when pediatric hospitalizations are already higher than usual due to other illnesses like COVID-19, influenza, and biennial enteroviruses.
Some experts believe that masking and social distancing due to the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a respite of RSV infections in 2020. However, cases intensified in 2021, most likely a result of fewer young children being exposed to RSV during the previous year.
Most children typically have had at least one RSV infection before the age of two and the illness becomes less troublesome as children get older.
“The theory is that everyone’s now back together and this is a rebound phenomenon,” Jeffrey Kline, MD, Associate Chair of Research, Wayne State University School of Medicine in Detroit, told MarketWatch. “If we think about the relative increase—ninefold increase—that’s not nothing, especially in the pediatric [emergency departments]. Holy mackerel.”
Most RSV Infected Children Require Hospitalization
Kline is in charge of a surveillance network that aggregates information regarding incidents of viral infections from 70 US hospitals. The data shows that more children are being hospitalized with COVID-19 than with RSV, but that 5% of children are testing positive for both illnesses. About 60% of children in that group require hospitalization.
According to the CDC, individuals with RSV will typically begin to experience symptoms within four to six days after getting infected. Symptoms of RSV, which tend to appear in stages, include:
Runny nose
Decrease in appetite
Coughing
Sneezing
Fever
Wheezing
“RSV causes a mild cold illness in most people. But it can be very dangerous for very young children and older adults. And young infants are usually the most at risk of hospitalizations in what physicians would call their first RSV season,” said Andrea Garcia, JD, Vice President, Medicine and Public Health, American Medical Association (AMA), in a November 2 AMA update on the current flu season.
“In a pre-pandemic year,” she added, “we would see 1% to 2% of babies younger than six months with an RSV infection maybe needing to be hospitalized. And virtually all children have gotten an RSV infection by the time they’re two-years-old.”
Infants are at a much higher risk of experiencing severe disease due to RSV because their immune systems are not fully developed, and those under six months old are unable to breathe through their mouths if they are congested.
Mejias is studying whether prior exposure to COVID-19 alters how a baby’s immune system reacts to RSV, and if it may lead to more severe illness in those babies.
“That is something to work on and understand,” she said.
Comorbidities and Compromised Immune Systems also a Factor
Older adults and adults with weakened immune systems are predisposed to RSV infections, but there are things people can do to mitigate their chances of becoming ill from RSV.
“[RSV] is spread through contact with droplets from the nose and throat of infected people when they cough or sneeze. It can also be spread through respiratory secretions on surfaces,” said Garcia in the AMA update. “So, it’s a really good idea to clean and disinfect surfaces, especially in areas where young children are constantly touching things. Handwashing is always important. And if you are sick, please stay home.”
She added, “Premature infants, children with certain medical conditions, are also eligible to take a monthly monoclonal antibody treatment during RSV season, and that can help them stay out of the hospital.”
Most RSV infections typically go away on their own within a week or two. But such infections can lead to more severe illnesses, such as bronchiolitis and pneumonia. The more serious cases may require hospitalization with additional oxygen, IV fluids, and even intubation with mechanical ventilation. In most cases, hospitalization only lasts a few days, according to the CDC.
Be Prepared for a Tripledemic
“Health officials are concerned that this could be a sign of what’s to come,” stated Garcia in the AMA update. “A difficult winter, with multiple respiratory viruses circulating.”
For clinical laboratory managers, the early arrival of RSV cases at the front end of this influenza season provides an opportunity to position their labs to better meet the demand for RSV testing. They should also advise their client physicians that there may be a surge of respiratory illnesses during this flu season.
Experts cite high vaccination rates and behavioral changes among at-risk groups, but warn about complacency; clinical laboratories should remain vigilant
In July, Scott Gottlieb, MD, Commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) from May 2017 to April 2019, wrote an op-ed in The New York Times titled, “Monkeypox Is About to Become the Next Public Health Failure.” In it, he wrote, “Our country’s response to monkeypox has been plagued by the same shortcomings we had with COVID-19.” But has it improved? Clinical laboratory leaders and pathology group managers will find it informative to find out what has taken place since Gottlieb made his stark prediction.
The global monkeypox outbreak that emerged last spring appears to have subsided in the US and Europe, though it remains to be seen if the disease can be completely eradicated, according to multiple media reports. As of Oct. 26, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported a 7-day rolling average of 30 cases per day in the US, down from a peak of nearly 440/day in early August.
Cases are also down in cities that earlier reported heavy outbreaks. For example, the New York City Health Department reported a 7-day average of just two cases per day on Oct. 25, compared with 73/day on July 30.
And the San Francisco Department of Public Health announced on Oct. 20 that it would end the city’s public health emergency on monkeypox (MPX) effective on Oct. 31. “MPX cases have slowed to less than one case per day and more than 27,000 San Franciscans are now vaccinated against the virus,” the agency stated in a press release.
“Once again, we caution that a declining outbreak can be the most dangerous outbreak, because it can tempt us to think that the crisis is over and to let down our guard,” said World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, PhD, in an Oct. 12 global press briefing. “That’s not what WHO is doing. We are continuing to work with countries around the world to increase their testing capacity, and to monitor trends in the outbreak.” Clinical laboratories should not assume the outbreak has passed but continue to be vigilant and prepared for increased demand in monkeypox testing. (Photo copyright: ITU Pictures.)
Changing Behavior Lowers Infection Rates
In addition to high vaccination rates, public health experts have attributed the decline to behavioral changes among at-risk groups. “There were really substantial changes among men who have sex [with] men,” infectious disease physician Shira Doron, MD, of Tufts Medical Center in Boston, told ABC News.
On September 2, the CDC published the results of a survey indicating that about half of men who have sex with men “reported reducing their number of sex partners, one-time sexual encounters, and use of dating apps because of the monkeypox outbreak.”
Another likely factor is the disease’s limited transmissibility. “Initially, there was a lot of concern that monkeypox could spread widely at daycares or in schools, but, overall, there has been very little spread among children,” NPR reported.
But citing multiple studies, the NPR story noted “that often there isn’t very much virus in the upper respiratory tract,” where it might spread through talking or coughing. “Instead, the highest levels of virus occur on sores found on the skin and inside the anus.”
These studies, along with earlier research, “explain why monkeypox is spreading almost exclusively through contact during sex, especially anal and oral sex, during the current outbreak,” NPR reported.
Monkeypox Could Mutate, experts say
Despite the promising numbers, public health experts are warning that monkeypox could remain as a long-term threat to public health. According to an article in Nature, “At best, the outbreak might fizzle out over the next few months or years. At worst, the virus could become endemic outside Africa by reaching new animal reservoirs, making it nearly impossible to eradicate.”
In addition to the limited transmissibility of the virus, Nature noted that the outbreak stems from a relatively mild form of the pathogen and is rarely fatal. As of Oct. 28, the CDC reported a total of just six confirmed deaths in the US out of a total of 28,302 confirmed cases since the first infections were reported in May.
It is possible that the virus could mutate into a more contagious form, but Nature noted that monkeypox is a DNA virus, and that they tend to mutate more slowly than RNA viruses such as SARS-CoV-2 and HIV. Nevertheless, University of Alabama at Birmingham School of Medicine bioinformatician Elliot Lefkowitz, PhD, warned that a “worrisome mutation” could arise if the outbreak continues for much longer.
“I have no confidence that all the people who need to be tested are being tested,” she told Nature. She expressed concerns that people could resume risky behavior if they think the danger has passed.
Another question is whether currently available vaccines offer long-lasting protection. And though reported case numbers are down in the US and Europe, they are rising in parts of Africa and South America, Nature noted.
Gottlieb’s Dire Prediction
The decline in new infections followed dire warnings last summer about the possible consequences of the outbreak. In his New York Times op-ed, former Gottlieb criticized the CDC for being slow to test for the virus. He wrote, “[I]f monkeypox gains a permanent foothold in the United States and becomes an endemic virus that joins our circulating repertoire of pathogens, it will be one of the worst public health failures in modern times not only because of the pain and peril of the disease but also because it was so avoidable.”
At the time of his writing, Gottlieb was right to be concerned. On July 29, the CDC reported a seven-day moving average of 390 reported cases per day. According to the federal agency, a reported case “Includes either the positive laboratory test report date, CDC call center reporting date, or case data entry date into CDC’s emergency response common operating platform, DCIPHER.”
Quashing the outbreak, Gottlieb estimated, would have required about 15,000 tests per week among people presenting symptoms resembling monkeypox. But between mid-May and the end of June, he noted, the CDC had tested only about 2,000 samples, according to the federal agency’s July 15 Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).
As a remedy, Gottlieb called on the Biden administration to re-focus the CDC’s efforts more on disease control “by transferring some of its disease prevention work to other agencies,” including the FDA.
These findings may be useful to clinical laboratory professionals when physicians want guidance in effective treatments for COVID-19 patients, particularly when there are concerns about a rebound of the infection
Drug interactions are a major concern for physicians and clinical laboratories. That is especially true given the push for nearly universal COVID-19 vaccinations and boosters. Now, a study conducted in Denmark may show that the use of Paxlovid as an antiviral drug to treat early SARS-CoV-2 infection could trigger drug-drug interactions (DDI) in some patients.
For clinical laboratory managers, insights into the issues associated with Paxlovid may be useful in helping client physicians diagnose their patients and anticipate possible negative drug reactions where other anti-viral drugs are involved.
Also of interest to medical laboratory leaders is the fact that the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in May released a Health Alert Network (HAN) Health Advisory about the potential for COVID-19 rebound after Paxlovid treatment.
COVID-19 Rebound, according to the CDC, “has been reported to occur between two and eight days after initial recovery and is characterized by a recurrence of COVID-19 symptoms or a new positive viral test after having tested negative.”
In an article she penned for STAT, Joan Susan Bregstein, MD (above), a pediatric emergency medicine physician and professor of pediatrics at Columbia University Irving Medical Center in New York, wrote, “Is Paxlovid worth it? The CDC advisory states in black, bold, and no uncertain terms that, despite the risk of rebound COVID, ‘Paxlovid continues to be recommended for early-stage treatment of mild to moderate COVID-19 among persons at high risk for progression to severe disease.’ But the definition of ‘high risk’ in this situation has been a moving target since the first days of COVID-19.” Clinical laboratory leaders can attest to the accuracy of that statement. (Photo copyright: Columbia University.)
Do Anti-Viral Drugs Interact with Other Medications?
Paxlovid is the retail name for a combination of two anti-viral drugs: nirmatrelvir and ritonavir. The medication for COVID-19 was developed by American pharmaceutical company Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and received Emergency Use Authorization from the US Food and Drug Administration in August of this year.
The drug is taken orally for five days by people who test positive for the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus to head off disease progression as well as serious illness, according to the CDC advisory.
But a “sizeable proportion” of elderly people are on medications that could interact with Paxlovid, Reuters reported.
“Two oral antiviral drugs—nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) and molnupiravir—have been approved for early outpatient treatment of COVID-19 to prevent severe disease. Ritonavir, contained in NMV/r is known to have significant DDI with several drugs frequently used by the elderly. This communication puts the problem with DDI with oral antiviral COVID-19 treatment into perspective,” the study authors wrote.
Their analysis of prescription data from Denmark residents found “extensive use of drugs likely to interact with NMV/r” as follows:
Anticoagulants (blood thinners): used by 20% of people over age 65 and by 30% of people over 80.
Statins (cholesterol-lowering medications): taken by 15% to 18% of people over 65.
Analgesics (for pain), calcium channel blockers (used to decrease blood pressure in patients with hypertension), or digoxin (used to treat heart conditions): taken by 20% of those studied.
In their paper, the researchers offered guidance to physicians. “Before prescribing NMV/r, the patient’s full medical history, including herbals and over-the-counter and recreational drugs, must be known and co-treatment carefully managed by the treating physician or by a specialist to avoid detrimental effects.”
However, one infectious disease specialist told Scientific American it may just take the elderly who were taking Paxlovid more time to completely get over COVID-19.
“Being of an elderly age and then having other risk factors—like diabetes, heart disease, kidney disease, or some sort of cancer—does put you at higher risk of rebound,” Aditya Shah, MBBS, Mayo Clinic Infectious Disease Physician and Researcher, told Scientific American.
That study’s researchers retrospectively reviewed 92 million electronic health records (EHR) from US patients. They found most people (11,270) had been treated with Paxlovid. However, 2,374 patients took molnupiravir, which also was granted EUA status by the FDA and is marketed as Lagevrio.
That COVID-19-rebound study found:
After nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid) treatment: 3.53% had rebound infections, 2.3% with rebound symptoms, and .44% were hospitalized.
After molnupiravir (Lagevrio) treatment: 5.86% had rebound infections, 3.75% with rebound symptoms, and .84% were hospitalized.
“Patients who took molnupiravir were significantly older and had more comorbidities than those who took Paxlovid,” the researchers wrote. “Results further suggest that rebound was not unique to Paxlovid and may be associated with persistent viral infection in some patients treated with either of these two antivirals. There has been more attention to COVID-19 rebound following Paxlovid treatment than molnupiravir, which may be attributable to more people being treated with Paxlovid,” they concluded.
Clinical Laboratories Can Guide Doctors
In an article she penned for STAT, titled, “Paxlovid Rebound Happens, Though Why and to Whom Are Still a Mystery,” Joan Susan Bregstein, MD, a pediatric emergency medicine physician and professor of pediatrics at Columbia University Irving Medical Center in New York, wrote of COVID-19 rebound, “My emergency medicine physician colleagues are seeing tons of it. Although people tend to think of medical care as something that is certain, it is actually a real-time experiment. Paxlovid, like a lot of COVID-19 care, is a reminder of this.”
Similarly, Mayo Clinic’s Shah acknowledged difficulty in identifying a COVID-19 rebound case. “You need real documentation of three tests—a positive, a negative, a positive—and clear documentation of symptoms—all symptoms gone, symptoms come back,” Shah told Scientific American.
Thus, clinical laboratories play a vital role in diagnosing and treating COVID-19 rebound patients, because that is what clinical labs do: test, document, and report. And as the study of the Danish population pointed out, doctors need guidance as they prescribe oral antivirals to COVID-19 patients who are on other drugs and at possible risk of drug-drug interactions.
Study also may have found relationship between atherosclerosis and cholesterol
Chinese scientists have developed a cutting-edge method for non-invasively monitoring blood cholesterol levels in humans. The innovative technology utilizes images of skin on hands and may eliminate the need for both invasive venipunctures and fasting for testing cholesterol. Given the large volumes of blood cholesterol tests currently performed by clinical laboratories, this new technology could have significant impact on cholesterol testing if further studies confirm its capabilities.
Notably, the Chinese researchers have apparently already developed a lab analyzer to perform the procedure and it is being used in clinical care. However, in the United States and other countries, this technology will require additional clinical studies and regulatory review before clinical laboratories would be able to use it in daily patient care.
The cholesterol sensing system consists of a detection reagent associated with a fluorescent group that binds to skin cholesterol, and a detection device. Cholesterol levels are easily obtained from the skin, according to the researchers, by analyzing the manner in which the skin absorbs and scatters light via a scanner.
Should this technology be validated for clinical care, it could replace other invasive clinical laboratory tests for cholesterol measurement.
The series of images above, taken from the researchers’ Lipids in Health and Disease published study, demonstrates how their non-invasive clinical laboratory test for total blood cholesterol is performed. Non-invasive clinical laboratory tests for monitoring biomarkers in the blood are always preferred by patients over veinous punctures and fasting. (Photo copyright: Hefei Institutes of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences.)
First Evidence of Relationship between Cholesterol and Atherosclerosis
“Just put your hands on, and the system will tell you the cholesterol data,” Yikun Wang, PhD, Professor, Department of Physical Sciences, Hefei Institutes of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and leader of the research team, told Diagnostics World. “Cholesterol is one of several types of fats (lipids) that play an important role in human body, we can track your fats in this simple way.”
To perform the testing, clinicians first clean the test site located on the fleshy edge of the palm of the hand with an alcohol swab. A patient’s non-dominant hand is used for the test as the skin on that hand is typically less abrasive and contains fewer melanocytes, which allows for more stable results. A plastic-coated annulus is then applied to the test site and the examined portion is positioned on the measuring hole of the detection system to measure the background light spectrum of the skin.
Once the background signal is ascertained, the detection reagent is added to the annulus until it is full. After 60 seconds, any excess detection reagent is removed from the annulus. A cleaning reagent is then added to the annulus for 30 seconds and removed with a sterile cotton swab. The treated portion of the skin is then placed over the measuring hole of the detection system and two spectrums of light are compared to measure the skin cholesterol, which accurately correlates to the cholesterol in the bloodstream.
“Compared to in-situ detection used in the previous clinical research, our device may offer more accurate results for we can avoid the influence of pressure and skin background differences [person to person],” Wang said. “Study results offer the first evidence of a relationship between skin cholesterol and atherosclerotic disease in a Chinese population, which may be of great significance to researchers around the world.”
Initially, 154 patients diagnosed with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) between January 2020 and April 2021 were involved in the study. However, only 121 of those patients were included in the final study with the remaining being excluded due to at least one of the following criteria:
Severe hepatic (liver) or renal (kidney) insufficiency, and
Obesity.
Clinician Use Can Affect Accuracy of Test
Developed by researchers from the Hefei Institutes of Physical Science Chinese Academy of Sciences, and the University of Science and Technology of China, the researchers noted that how clinicians operate the device can have an impact on the accuracy of the test results.
“A critical step in the [testing] process that is subject to operator variability is blotting, which requires the operator to remove an unbound detector from the palm before adding the indicator,” Wang told Diagnostics World. “Excess residual indicator solution can result in falsely increased skin cholesterol levels. Considering this, we are planning to develop a simplified and standardized blotting procedure.”
Millions of people in the US live with illness that requires regular monitoring of blood cholesterol. Normal total cholesterol should be less than 200 milligrams per deciliter (mg/dL). According to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), nearly 94 million US adults over the age of 20 have total cholesterol levels higher than 200 mg/dL and 28 million adults have total cholesterol levels higher than 240 mg/dL. In addition, 7% of children and adolescents between the ages of six and 19 have high cholesterol. For these reasons, cholesterol testing represents a substantial portion of the clinical laboratory tests performed daily in this country.
This new non-invasive technology for monitoring total blood cholesterol in humans could greatly benefit patients, especially if it eliminates the need for venipunctures and fasting prior to testing. Clinical laboratory managers and pathologists may want to follow the progress of this new cholesterol testing technology as it demonstrates its value in China and is submitted for regulatory review in this country.
Testing capacity has been boosted by inclusion of commercial laboratory companies and the fact that the virus spreads less easily than SARS-CoV-2
At the start of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, clinical laboratories were unprepared for unprecedented testing volumes. Fast forward to today, and the monkeypox outbreak has some clinical laboratory managers and pathologists wondering if they might again be faced with a surge in demand for monkeypox testing.
The good news is that so far the supply of tests appears adequate, especially compared to the early days of COVID-19.
“We’ve always had more capacity than we have had tests coming in,” Walensky noted. “To date, we’ve used about 14% to 20% of our capacity.”
During a hearing before the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee on the current state of monkeypox testing capacity in the US, Rochelle Walensky, MD (above), Director at the CDC said, “We worked through commercial labs to expand testing across the country and simultaneously [offered] outreach and education to providers, clinicians, patients, and public health.” At the moment, access to clinical laboratory testing for monkeypox appears stable, but that could change as demand grows. (Photo copyright: CDC.)
Capacity Sits at 80,000 Tests Per Week in the US
When the monkeypox outbreak began, US medical laboratories could run 6,000 tests per week. At the time, this was more than sufficient, according to a White House press briefing.
However, since then, demand for testing has increased across the country to 80,000 tests per week. As part of that effort, the CDC partnered with five commercial laboratories to expand access to testing, according to the federal Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), Dark Daily reported in August.
Testing capacity also has kept up with demand thanks to biology. Monkeypox, which is in the same orthopoxvirus family of viruses as smallpox, has proven far less virulent than COVID-19, so fewer people are getting infected.
FDA Advises Against Monkeypox Saliva Test
Another boost to capacity in the future may come from new types of monkeypox tests.
Wired reported on Aug. 1 that Flow Health—a California company already distributing COVID-19 tests—has developed a monkeypox test that can detect the virus in saliva. This test would require patients to spit into a tube for a sample, and as such could be distributed for at-home use.
However, in a report released on July 15, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) advised providers to only take testing samples from lesions caused by the rash associated with monkeypox infection. The FDA stated that there is currently no clinical data to support the use of other monkeypox tests like Flow Health’s.
Monkeypox Testing Resources Scarce in Some Areas
At the moment, clinical laboratory testing capacity seems stable, however, roadblocks are appearing that may disrupt the availability of monkeypox tests for patients.
Although bringing on five commercial laboratories has increased US testing capacity, MedTech Dive reported on Aug. 10 that for some hospitals and laboratories, resources for monkeypox testing are scarce.
“Right now, there’s a lot of confusion in the community about where to get tested, where can people find treatment,” Robert Pitts, MD, an Infectious Diseases Specialist at Bellevue, told MedTech Dive. “There’s just no clear guidance because I think a lot of the different facilities and healthcare systems in New York are still trying to patch together pathways. … We’ve had to borrow space, borrow staff, which has been really, really challenging.”
During August, Bellevue took two primary care providers out of their normal clinical responsibilities to instead focus on monkeypox. And Pitts found himself dedicating four to five hours of his time to monkeypox-related issues, MedTech Dive reported.
“And so, I’m using my own time, because it’s a crisis, to respond to it,” he said.
The US healthcare system has been somewhat more efficient at getting monkeypox tests out to clinical laboratories than was the case with COVID-19. Moreover, new tests may be on the way. However, roadblocks exist that must be overcome to ensure monkeypox testing capability will meet growing demand.
