The merger is expected to boost investment in 23andMe’s consumer health and therapeutics businesses
After years of spectacular growth, the popularity of direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic testing is beginning to wane. Nevertheless, opportunities still exist in the DTC genetic testing market for visionaries with funds to invest.
One such visionary is billionaire Richard Branson, founder of the multinational venture capital conglomerate Virgin Group (VG). Branson’s VG Acquisition Corp. (NYSE:VGAC), a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC), announced it is merging with 23andMe of Sunnyvale, Calif., to create a publicly-traded company with the New York Stock Exchange ticker symbol ME.
In a VG press release, Branson states his reason for the merger. “Of the hundreds of companies we reviewed for our SPAC, 23andMe stands head and shoulders above the rest,” he said. “As an early investor, I have seen 23andMe develop into a company with enormous growth potential. Driven by [CEO Anne Wojcicki’s] vision to empower consumers, and with our support, I’m excited to see 23andMe make a positive difference to many more people’s lives.”
According to a 23andMe press release, the deal values the company at approximately $3.5 billion and will net the consumer genetics and research company as much as $759 million in additional cash. Wojcicki and Branson each invested $25 million themselves as part of the $250 million fund to take the company public.
“As a fellow industry disruptor as well as an early investor in 23andMe, we are thrilled to partner with Sir Richard Branson and VG Acquisition Corp. as we approach the next phase of our business, which will create new opportunities to revolutionize personalized healthcare and medicine,” 23andMe co-founder and CEO Anne Wojcicki (above) said in the press release. “We have always believed that healthcare needs to be driven by the consumer, and we have a huge opportunity to help personalize the entire experience at scale, allowing individuals to be more proactive about their health and wellness. Through a genetics-based approach, we fundamentally believe we can transform the continuum of healthcare.” (Photo copyright: Inc. magazine.)
Participation in Research Key to Future of DTC Genetics Testing
Though DTC genetic testing kit sales have slowed in recent years for both 23andMe and rival Ancestry, Wojcicki believes the company’s database of 10 million customers—with 80% of customers agreeing to participate in research—is the key to its future.
“We have always seen health as a much bigger opportunity” than genealogy, Wojcicki told The Wall Street Journal (WSJ).
According to the WSJ, 23andMe customers fill out more than 30,000 surveys each day on health and related issues. With that information, the company has determined its database includes 1.7 million people with high cholesterol, nearly 1.6 million with depression and 539,000 with Type 2 diabetes, information that is highly valued by medical researchers and those running clinical trials.
Personalizing Healthcare through DTC Genetic Testing
Wojcicki expects the merger will propel the consumer DNA-testing company into personalized medicine and therapeutics. “We have always believed that healthcare needs to be driven by the consumer, and we have a huge opportunity to help personalize the entire experience at scale, allowing individuals to be more proactive about their health and wellness,” Wojcicki said in a statement. “Through a genetics-based approach, we fundamentally believe we can transform the continuum of healthcare.”
In August 2020, the US Food and Drug Administration “granted 23andMe a 510(k) clearance for a pharmacogenetics report on two medications—Clopidogrel, prescribed for certain heart conditions, and Citalopram, which is prescribed for depression,” 23andMe announced in a blog post.
“This impactful pharmacogenetics information can now be delivered without the need for confirmatory testing, a testament to the clinical validity of 23andMe results,” said Kathy Hibbs, 23andMe Chief Legal and Regulatory Officer, in the blog post. “23andMe remains the only company with direct-to-consumer pharmacogenetic reports cleared by the FDA.”
23andMe’s trove of genetic data already has netted it a partnership with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK). According to a GSK press release, in 2018, the two companies signed a four-year research and development agreement. The collaboration targets novel medicines and potential cures using human genetics as the basis for discovery.
COVID-19 Boosts 23andMe’s Sales
During a joint interview with Branson in Bloomberg News about the merger, Wojcicki said, “COVID-19 has really opened up doors.” Now more than ever, she said, people are interested in preventative healthcare. “I’ve had this dream since 2003 that genetics would revolutionize healthcare and that’s really the era I see we can now usher in,” she added.
As 23andMe pushes further into personalized therapeutics, clinical laboratories and pathology groups would be wise to watch and see if this new entrant accelerates healthcare’s shift to the precision medicine model of personalized care.
Though gene sequencing is touted as a key component of precision medicine, the medical value of direct-to-consumer testing has yet to show up in improved health outcomes, nor have clinical laboratories benefitted
In a recent example that the market for genetic genealogy testing may have peaked and the days of spectacular growth in the number of direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic test orders and revenue is over, private-equity firm Blackstone—in a $4.7 billion deal—announced it will acquire a majority stake in Ancestry, which also does some clinical laboratory genetic testing as well.
Blackstone (NYSE:BX) acquired Ancestry of Lehi, Utah, one of the two largest genealogy testing companies (the other being 23andMe of Sunnyvale, Calif.), from a group of equity holders led by investment firms Silver Lake, GIC, Spectrum Equity, and Permira, noted a press release. GIC will retain a “significant minority stake” in Ancestry.
“We are very excited to partner with Ancestry and its management team. We believe Ancestry has significant runway for further growth as people of all ages and backgrounds become increasingly interested in learning more about their family histories and themselves,” David Kestnbaum, a Senior Managing Director at Blackstone, said in the press release. “We look forward to investing behind further data, functionality, and product development across Ancestry’s market leading platform to continue to provide a differentiated service.”
Is Genetic Testing for Genealogy Still a Growth Industry?
Ancestry is the global leader in digital family history services, operating in more than 30 countries with more than three million paying subscribers across its Ancestry online properties and more than $1 billion in annual revenue.
However, some experts say the road ahead may not be smooth for Ancestry or its major competitor, 23andMe.
“The business landscape fell off a cliff last year,” Laura Hercher, Director of Human Genetics Research at Sarah Lawrence College in New York, told STAT. “Fads pass,” she added.
Hercher points out that Ancestry has “this enormous database, which inherently has a lot of value hidden in it—potential energy. But they have not figured out how to get that information out in the way 23andMe has.”
23andMe’s pivot into medical research gained steam in 2018 when pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE:GSK) purchased a $300 million stake in the company with the aim of using 23andMe’s resources to develop new medicines. That collaboration began bearing fruit earlier this year when GlaxoSmithKline started human trials of the first medicine (a cancer drug) to emerge from the partnership, STAT reported.
The public’s declining interest in at-home genealogy, however, has caused both companies to reduce staffing. 23andMe began the year by laying off about 100 employees—an estimated 14% of its workers—and Ancestry followed suit in February, letting go a similar number of employees, representing roughly 6% of its workforce.
According to MIT Technology Review, direct-to-consumer genetic genealogy testing reached its zenith in 2018 when consumers purchased as many DNA tests in one year as they had in all previous years combined, propelling total sales from Ancestry, 21andMe, and other DTC gene testing companies to roughly $26 million.
In 2019, CNBC reported that, market-wide, roughly 30 million tests had been sold across the globe. However, in recent years, sales have fallen short of expectations as the number of people willing to pay $99 to learn about their ancestry has dwindled. “I suspect those that are curious about this information are thinning out and there’s less people to go around to grow,” Greg Yap (above), Partner at Menlo Ventures, told CNBC. “I think there’s a broader issue, which is that the ultimate medical value is still really unproven,” Yap added. “There’s lots of research being done, but value for mass market consumer isn’t there yet, so it keeps a ceiling on the size of that market.” (Photo copyright: VentureBeat.)
Privacy Still a Concern
Ancestry has begun to insert itself into the genetic testing healthcare arena. In a press release, the company announced the launch of AncestryHealth, a $179 DNA testing kit that uses next generation sequencing (aka, high-throughput or massive parallel sequencing), aimed at providing adult consumers information on their inherited health risks.
However, as MedCity News points out, the sale to Blackstone has increased privacy concerns around the direct-to-consumer DNA testing market. Ancestry’s consumer privacy and data protections remain unchanged under the new ownership, but Alan Butler, Interim Executive Director at Electronic Privacy Information Center (EPIC), told MedCity News, “This is one example of a very troubling trend. It’s something regulatory agencies are not up to date to deal with. It’s one of the reasons we need comprehensive privacy law in the US.”
As genealogy companies such as 23andMe and Ancestry shift their focus from providing genetic histories to improving consumers’ health through genetic testing, clinical laboratories should be mindful of the logical next step, which is predicted to be genetic tests where the consumer collects the sample at home and the test is used to aid in diagnosing and treating patients.
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