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University of Warwick Researchers Identity Blood Protein Biomarkers That Can Predict Dementia Onset Years in Advance

With further study, this research may provide clinical laboratories with a new proteomic biomarker for dementia screenings that identifies risk more than 10 years before symptoms appear

Researchers at the University of Warwick in the UK and Fudan University in Shanghai, China, identified four protein biomarkers in blood that they say can predict dementia up to 15 years before diagnosis. They say these biomarkers may lead to clinical laboratory blood tests that offer alternatives to costly brain scans and lumbar punctures for diagnosis of dementia.

The scientists “used the largest cohort of blood proteomics and dementia to date,” according to a University of Warwick news release. This included taking blood from 52,645 “healthy” people without dementia who participated in the UK Biobank—a population-based study cohort, the new release noted.

“The proteomic biomarkers are [easy] to access and non-invasive, and they can substantially facilitate the application of large-scale population screening,” said neurovegetative disease specialist Jin-tai Yu, MD, PhD, a professor at Fudan University and co-author of the study, in the news release.

The scientists published their findings in the journal Nature Aging titled, “Plasma Proteomic Profiles Predict Future Dementia in Healthy Adults.”

“The advent of proteomics offers an unprecedented opportunity to predict dementia onset,” the researchers wrote.

“This is a well-conducted study that adds to what we know about changes in blood that occur very early in diseases that cause dementia, which will be important for early diagnosis in the future,” said Tara Spires-Jones, PhD, in a post from the Science Media Center in the UK. “However,” she added, “it is important to note that these are still scientific research studies and that there are currently no blood tests available for routine use that can diagnose dementia with certainty.

Jones, who was not involved in the study, is President of the British Neuroscience Association (BNA) and group leader of the UK Dementia Research Institute at the University of Edinburgh.

“Based on this study, it does seem likely that blood tests will be developed that can predict risk for developing dementia over the next 10 years, although individuals at higher risk often have difficulty knowing how to respond,” Suzanne Schindler, MD, PhD (above), told Reuters. Schindler, an Associate Professor of Neurology at Washington University in St. Louis, was not involved in the research. Clinical laboratories may soon have a new blood test for dementia. (Photo copyright: VJDementia.)

Predicting Onset of Dementia with 90% Accuracy

The researchers analyzed 52,645 blood samples from the UK Biobank (UKBB). The samples were collected between 2006 and 2010 from healthy individuals who at that time were without dementia.

By March 2023, 1,417 of the study participants had developed Alzheimer’s disease or some other form of dementia. The researchers looked at 1,463 proteins and identified four that were present in high levels among those people:

“Individuals with higher GFAP levels were 2.32 times more likely to develop dementia,” the researchers wrote in Nature Aging. “Notably, GFAP and LTBP2 were highly specific for dementia prediction. GFAP and NEFL began to change at least 10 years before dementia diagnosis.”

When adding known risk factors such as age, sex, and genetics, the researchers said they could predict onset of dementia with 90% accuracy, according to the University of Warwick news release.

“Our findings strongly highlight GFAP as an optimal biomarker for dementia prediction, even more than 10 years before the diagnosis, with implications for screening people at high risk for dementia and for early intervention,” the researchers wrote.

The news release also noted that smaller studies had already identified some of the proteins as potential biomarkers, “but this new research was much larger and conducted over several years.”

Further Validation Needed

Amanda Heslegrave, PhD, of the UK Dementia Research Institute, University College London described the UKBB as “an excellent resource” in the Science Media Center (SMC) post. However, she noted, it’s “a highly curated biobank and may not capture all populations that we need to know the risk for. The new biomarkers identified will need further validation before being used as screening tools.”

Another expert raised additional questions about the University of Warwick/Fudan University study in the SMC post.

“These results may help researchers understand the biological systems involved in the development of dementia,” said David Curtis, MD, PhD, of the UCL Genetics Institute at University College London. “However in my view the strengths of the reported associations are not really strong enough to say that these would form a useful test for predicting who will get dementia in the future.”

Conversely, Curtis pointed to other studies suggesting that phosphorylated tau (p-tau) proteins are better candidates for developing a simple blood test.

P-tau “provides a very good indicator of whether the pathological processes leading to Alzheimer’s disease are present in the brain,” he said. “When effective treatments for Alzheimer’s disease are developed it will be very helpful indeed to have simple blood tests—such as measuring phosphorylated tau—available in order to identify who could benefit.”

At least two blood tests based on the p-tau217 variant—from ALZpath and C2N—are currently available to US clinicians as laboratory developed tests (LDT).

In “University of Gothenburg Study Findings Affirm Accuracy of Clinical Laboratory Blood Test to Diagnose Alzheimer’s Disease,” Dark Daily reported on a study from the University of Gothenburg in Sweden which found that the ALZpath test was as good or better than lumbar punctures and brain scans as a diagnostic tool for Alzheimer’s.

UK Biobank

The UK Biobank continues to be used by researchers both in the UK and abroad because of the full sets of data on large numbers of patients over many years. There are few other sources of such data elsewhere in the world. The UK Biobank is a large-scale biomedical database and research resource. It contains de-identified genetic, lifestyle and health information, and biological samples from 500,000 UK participants.

On its website, the UK Biobank states, “It is the most comprehensive and widely-used dataset of its kind and is globally accessible to approved researchers who are undertaking health-related research that is in the public interest, whether they are from academic, commercial, government or charitable settings.”

Thus, clinical laboratory managers and pathologists can expect a continuing stream of published studies that identify biomarkers associated with different health conditions and to see where the data used in these analyses came from the UK’s biobank.

—Stephen Beale

Related Information:

Protein Biomarkers Predict Dementia 15 Years Before Diagnosis, According to New Study

Plasma Proteomic Profiles Predict Future Dementia in Healthy Adults

Proteins May Predict Who Will Get Dementia 10 Years Later, Study Finds

Expert Reaction to Study of Potential Protein Biomarkers for Dementia Risk

Two New p-Tau217 Blood Tests Join a Crowded Field

Plasma p-Tau-217 Assays Work Well, But No Home Run for Diagnosis

Dementia Can Be Predicted More than a Decade Before Diagnosis with These Blood Proteins

Dementia Predicted 10 Years Before Diagnosis

Early Blood Test to Predict Dementia Is Step Closer as Biological Markers Identified

Validating Blood Tests as A Possible Routine Diagnostic Assay of Alzheimer’s Disease

University of Gothenburg Study Findings Affirm Accuracy of Clinical Laboratory Blood Test to Diagnose Alzheimer’s Disease

Already-existing clinical laboratory blood test may be new standard for detecting Alzheimer’s biomarkers

In Sweden, an independent study of an existing blood test for Alzheimer’s disease—called ALZpath—determined that this diagnostic assay appears to be “just as good as, if not surpass, lumbar punctures and expensive brain scans at detecting signs of Alzheimer’s in the brain,” according to a report published by The Guardian.

Alzheimer’s disease is one of the worst forms of dementia and it affects more than six million people annually according to the Alzheimer’s Association. Clinical laboratory testing to diagnose the illness traditionally involves painful, invasive spinal taps and brain scans. For that reason, researchers from the University of Gothenburg in Sweden wanted to evaluate the performance of the ALZpath test when compared to these other diagnostic procedures.

Motivated to seek a less costly, less painful, Alzheimer’s biomarker for clinical laboratory testing, neuroscientist Nicholas Ashton, PhD, Assistant Professor of Neurochemistry at the University of Gothenburg, led a team of scientists that looked at other common biomarkers used to identify changes in the brain of Alzheimer’s patients. That led them to tau protein-based blood tests and specifically to the ALZpath blood test for Alzheimer’s disease developed by ALZpath, Inc., of Carlsbad, Calif.

The researchers published their findings in the journal JAMA Neurology titled, “Diagnostic Accuracy of a Plasma Phosphorylated Tau 217 Immunoassay for Alzheimer Disease Pathology.”

In their JAMA article, they wrote, “the pTau217 immunoassay showed similar accuracies to cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers in identifying abnormal amyloid β (Aβ) and tau pathologies.”

In an earlier article published in medRxiv, Ashton et al wrote, “Phosphorylated tau (pTau) is a specific blood biomarker for Alzheimer’s disease (AD) pathology, with pTau217 considered to have the most utility. However, availability of pTau217 tests for research and clinical use has been limited.”

Thus, the discovery of an existing pTau217 assay (ALZpath) that is accessible and affordable is a boon to Alzheimer’s patients and to the doctors who treat them.

“The ALZpath pTau217 assay showed high diagnostic accuracy in identifying elevated amyloid (AUC, 0.92-0.96; 95%CI 0.89-0.99) and tau (AUC, 0.93-0.97; 95%CI 0.84-0.99) in the brain across all cohorts. These accuracies were significantly higher than other plasma biomarker combinations and equivalent to CSF [cerebrospinal fluid] biomarkers,” an ALZpath press release noted.

“This is an instrumental finding in blood-based biomarkers for Alzheimer’s, paving the way for the clinical use of the ALZpath pTau217 assay,” stated Henrik Zetterberg, MD, PhD (above), Professor of Neurochemistry at the University of Gothenburg and co-author of the study. “This robust assay is already used in multiple labs around the globe.” Clinical laboratories may soon be receiving doctors’ orders for pTau217 blood tests for Alzheimer’s patients. (Photo copyright: University of Gothenburg.)

Study Details

Ashton’s team conducted a cohort study that “examined data from three single-center observational cohorts.” The cohorts included:

“Participants included individuals with and without cognitive impairment grouped by amyloid and tau (AT) status using PET or CSF biomarkers. Data were analyzed from February to June 2023,” the researchers wrote. 

These trials from the US, Canada, and Spain featured 786 participants and featured “either a lumbar puncture or an amyloid PET scan to identify signs of amyloid and tau proteins—hallmarks of Alzheimer’s disease,” The Guardian reported, adding that results of the University of Gothenburg’s study showed that the ALZpath pTau217 blood test “was superior to brain atrophy assessments, in identifying signs of Alzheimer’s.”

“80% of individuals could be definitively diagnosed on a blood test without any other investigation,” Ashton told The Guardian.

Diagnosis Needed to Receive Alzheimer’s Disease Treatments

“If you’re going to receive [the new drugs], you need to prove that you have amyloid in the brain,” Ashton told The Guardian. “It’s just impossible to do spinal taps and brain scans on everyone that would need it worldwide. So, this is where the blood test [has] a huge potential.”

Even countries where such drugs were not yet available (like the UK) would benefit, Ashton said, because the test, “Could potentially say that this is not Alzheimer’s disease and it could be another type of dementia, which would help to direct the patient’s management and treatment routine.”

However, Ashton himself noted the limitations of the new findings—specifically that there is no success shown yet in Alzheimer’s drugs being taken by symptom-free individuals.

“If you do have amyloid in the brain at 50 years of age, the blood test will be positive,” he said. “But what we recommend, and what the guidelines recommend with these blood tests, is that these are to help clinicians—so someone must have had some objective concern that they have Alzheimer’s disease, or [that] their memory is declining,” he told The Guardian.

Experts on the Study Findings

“Blood tests could be used to screen everyone over 50-years old every few years, in much the same way as they are now screened for high cholesterol,” David Curtis, MD, PhD, Honorary Professor in the Genetics, Evolution and Environment department at University College London, told The Guardian.

“Results from these tests could be clear enough to not require further follow-up investigations for some people living with Alzheimer’s disease, which could speed up the diagnosis pathway significantly in future,” Richard Oakley, PhD, Associate Director of Research and Innovation at the Alzheimer’s Society, UK, told The Guardian.

Though Oakley found the findings promising, he pointed out what should come next. “We still need to see more research across different communities to understand how effective these blood tests are across everyone who lives with Alzheimer’s disease,” he said.

“Expanding access to this highly accurate Alzheimer’s disease biomarker is crucial for wider evaluation and implementation of AD blood tests,” the researchers wrote in JAMA Neurology.

“ALZpath makers are in discussions with labs in the UK to launch it for clinical use this year, and one of the co-authors, Henrik Zetterberg, MD, PhD, Professor of Neurochemistry at the University of Gothenburg, is making the assay available for research use as part of the ‘biomarker factory’ at UCL,” The Guardian reported.

In the US, to be prescribed any of the available Alzheimer’s medications, a doctor must diagnose that the patient has amyloid in the brain. A pTau217 diagnostic blood test could be used to make such a diagnosis. Currently, however, the test is only available “for research studies through select partner labs,” Time reported.

“But later this month, doctors in the US will be able to order the test for use with patients. (Some laboratory-developed tests performed by certain certified labs don’t require clearance from the US Food and Drug Administration.),” Time added.

It may be that the University of Gothenburg study will encourage Alzheimer’s doctors in the UK and around the world to consider ordering pTau217 diagnostic blood tests from clinical laboratories, rather than prescribing spinal taps and brains scans for their Alzheimer’s patients.

—Kristin Althea O’Connor

Related Information:

New Study Published in JAMA Neurology Affirms High Diagnostic Accuracy of ALZpath’s pTau217 Test in Identifying Amyloid and Tau in the Brain

Blood Test Could Revolutionize Diagnosis of Alzheimer’s, Experts Say

Simple Blood Tests for Dementia to Be Trialed in NHS

A Blood Test for Alzheimer’s Disease Is Almost Here

Diagnostic Accuracy of a Plasma Phosphorylated Tau 217 Immunoassay for Alzheimer Disease Pathology

Alzheimer’s Disease Facts and Figures

Scientists Develop Blood Test for Alzheimer’s Disease

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